Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Babrungas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Babrungas are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Garliava are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Babrungas hold a 29.1-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the 1 Lyga, while Babrungas holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Babrungas
Probability
53.6%
Model confidence
53.6%
Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00