Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Babrungas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Babrungas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dainava are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Babrungas hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (77.6 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the 1 Lyga, while Babrungas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Babrungas
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Babrungas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80