Başakşehirvs
Kocaelispor
LIVETurkey · Süper Lig · 8/16/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Başakşehir · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Başakşehir are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Kocaelispor are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Başakşehir hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.0% in the Süper Lig, while Başakşehir holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Başakşehir
Probability
50.0%
Model confidence
50.0%
Başakşehir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00