Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
B71 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
B71 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hoyvík are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 4.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and B71 hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (80.8 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 87.8% in the 1. Deild, while B71 holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
B71
Probability
87.8%
Model confidence
87.8%
B71 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 8 · GA 21 · avg 1.60/4.20