Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
B68 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while AB are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AB hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (33.7 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Meistaradeildin, while AB holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AB
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
AB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00