Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ÍF II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
B36 II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while ÍF II are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and ÍF II hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the 1. Deild, while ÍF II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 87% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ÍF II
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
ÍF II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 17 · avg 1.20/3.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40