Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stjarnan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
B 93 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Stjarnan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stjarnan hold a 40.6-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Stjarnan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stjarnan
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Stjarnan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20