Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Azuriz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Sao Jose are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Jose hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.4% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 13% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
57.4%
Model confidence
57.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60