Azurizvs
Marcílio Dias
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Azuriz are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Marcílio Dias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Marcílio Dias hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 54.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40