Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Azuriz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Blumenau are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold an 18.3-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
43.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.40/0.40