Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Azam · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Azam are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Simba are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Simba hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Azam holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Azam
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Azam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60