GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

AZ Alkmaar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Olympiakos Piraeus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AZ Alkmaar hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (78.0 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AZ Alkmaar holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AZ Alkmaar

Probability

60.6%

Model confidence

9.6%

AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AZ AlkmaarWDLWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Olympiakos PiraeusLLWDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AZ AlkmaarOlympiakos Piraeus
100.0Attack75.0
75.0Defence58.3
75.0Form58.3
78.0Power63.4
2.45xG1.30
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