AZ Alkmaarvs
Gent
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
AZ Alkmaar are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gent are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AZ Alkmaar hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (78.0 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AZ Alkmaar holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AZ Alkmaar
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60