AZ Alkmaarvs
Genk
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/22/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
AZ Alkmaar are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Genk are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AZ Alkmaar hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (78.0 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AZ Alkmaar holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AZ Alkmaar
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60