GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AZ Alkmaar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AZ Alkmaar are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Almere City FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AZ Alkmaar hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (78.0 v 55.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AZ Alkmaar holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AZ Alkmaar

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

AZ Alkmaar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AZ AlkmaarDDDDD

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Almere City FCLWLLD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AZ AlkmaarAlmere City FC
100.0Attack56.7
75.0Defence56.7
75.0Form50.0
78.0Power55.3
2.47xG1.02
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