AZ Alkmaarvs
ADO Den Haag
COMPLETEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
AZ Alkmaar are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while ADO Den Haag are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AZ Alkmaar hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eredivisie, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 60% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
22.8%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 16 · GA 5 · avg 3.20/1.00