GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ayr Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Ayr Utd are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Edinburgh City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ayr Utd hold a 45.1-point power-rating edge (87.9 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the League Cup, while Ayr Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ayr Utd

Probability

60.3%

Model confidence

60.3%

Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ayr UtdWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Edinburgh CityWLDLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ayr UtdEdinburgh City
83.3Attack33.3
75.0Defence41.7
100.0Form50.0
87.9Power42.9
2.56xG0.90
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