GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ayr Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Ayr Utd are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Alloa Athletic are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ayr Utd hold a 59.3-point power-rating edge (87.9 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the League Cup, while Ayr Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ayr Utd

Probability

64.4%

Model confidence

64.4%

Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ayr UtdWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Alloa AthleticDDLLW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ayr UtdAlloa Athletic
83.3Attack33.3
75.0Defence25.0
100.0Form16.7
87.9Power28.7
2.92xG0.88
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