GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ayr Utd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ayr Utd are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Airdrie United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Airdrie United hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (87.9 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ayr Utd holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ayr Utd

Probability

39.6%

Model confidence

39.6%

Ayr Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ayr UtdWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Airdrie UnitedDLLDW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ayr UtdAirdrie United
66.7Attack100.0
88.9Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
87.9Power97.0
1.88xG1.49
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