Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aymorés · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Aymorés are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while BOA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aymorés hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Mineiro - 2, while Aymorés holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aymorés
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
17.6%
Aymorés has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20