GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 5/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ayacucho FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Comerciantes are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Comerciantes hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.2% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

51.2%

Model confidence

51.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ayacucho FCWDWLD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ComerciantesWDDDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Ayacucho FCComerciantes
27.8Attack41.7
72.2Defence75.0
44.4Form58.3
50.2Power60.6
0.44xG0.65
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