Ayacucho FCvs
Alianza Universidad
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 3/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ayacucho FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alianza Universidad are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80