GGOALVIO

Peru · Segunda División · 3/28/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ayacucho FC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Alianza Universidad are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ayacucho FCLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alianza UniversidadWLDLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ayacucho FCAlianza Universidad
27.8Attack39.4
72.2Defence66.7
44.4Form45.5
50.2Power52.5
0.59xG0.60
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