Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AVS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
AVS are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Paredes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AVS hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while AVS holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AVS
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
AVS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20