GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 7/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Avondale are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 4.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Preston Lions are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Preston Lions hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avondale

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AvondaleLWWWW

GF 22 · GA 3 · avg 4.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Preston LionsWWWLL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
AvondalePreston Lions
84.7Attack50.0
52.8Defence72.7
56.9Form65.2
61.1Power63.6
1.56xG1.33
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