GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 8/1/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avondale · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Avondale are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Heidelberg United are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avondale hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avondale

Probability

60.0%

Model confidence

60.0%

Avondale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AvondaleWDLLL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Heidelberg UnitedDWDDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AvondaleHeidelberg United
84.7Attack52.8
52.8Defence54.2
56.9Form47.2
61.1Power52.7
2.60xG1.35
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