AvondalevsDandenong Thunder

Avondale are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Dandenong Thunder are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Avondale hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 28.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.9% in the Victoria NPL, while Avondale holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.