Avispa FukuokavsShimizu S-pulse

Avispa Fukuoka are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Shimizu S-pulse are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.