GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 3/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Avispa Fukuoka are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nagoya Grampus are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 32.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avispa Fukuoka

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avispa FukuokaLLLDD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Nagoya GrampusDLDWW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Avispa FukuokaNagoya Grampus
50.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence50.0
50.0Form0.0
59.3Power26.7
1.66xG0.94
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