GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 5/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Avispa Fukuoka are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Kyoto Sanga are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avispa Fukuoka

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

12.6%

Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avispa FukuokaDDLWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Kyoto SangaLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Avispa FukuokaKyoto Sanga
50.0Attack50.0
83.3Defence33.3
50.0Form16.7
59.3Power36.5
1.72xG1.07
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