GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 2/8/2026, 4:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avispa Fukuoka · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Avispa Fukuoka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Fagiano Okayama are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.0% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avispa Fukuoka

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

14.0%

Avispa Fukuoka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avispa FukuokaDWWLW

GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Fagiano OkayamaLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Avispa FukuokaFagiano Okayama
50.0Attack33.3
83.3Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
59.3Power53.0
1.41xG1.06
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