GGOALVIO

Japan · J1 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cerezo Osaka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Avispa Fukuoka are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Cerezo Osaka hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the J1 League, while Cerezo Osaka holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cerezo Osaka

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

13.5%

Cerezo Osaka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avispa FukuokaLWLWD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cerezo OsakaWWWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Avispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka
0.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form100.0
23.7Power80.3
1.20xG1.49
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