Avispa FukuokavsCerezo Osaka

Avispa Fukuoka are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Avispa Fukuoka hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the J1 League, while Avispa Fukuoka holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.