Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
10%
MediumconfidenceAvellino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Torino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AvellinoLWLWW
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
TorinoLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AvellinoTorino
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.88xG1.60