Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Avellino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Avellino are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Scafatese have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 0 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Avellino hold a 37.5-point power-rating edge (91.7 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Avellino holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Avellino
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Avellino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00