Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aveley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aveley are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Whitehawk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aveley hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Non League Premier - Isthmian, while Aveley holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aveley
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
10.9%
Aveley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00