Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aveley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Aveley are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Tilbury are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Aveley hold a 37.4-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aveley holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aveley
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
Aveley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00