Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aveley · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Aveley are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Braintree are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Aveley hold a 30.5-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 30.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Aveley holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aveley
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Aveley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00