GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Avangard Kursk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Avangard Kursk are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Zenit Penza are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Avangard Kursk hold a 17.5-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 31.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Avangard Kursk holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Avangard Kursk

Probability

66.0%

Model confidence

12.6%

Avangard Kursk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Avangard KurskDDLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Zenit PenzaLDWLW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Avangard KurskZenit Penza
42.6Attack35.3
57.4Defence27.5
44.4Form27.5
49.4Power31.9
2.09xG0.79
View match centre →