Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Avai are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Juventude are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold an 18.1-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00