GGOALVIO

Auxerre logoAuxerrevsSt Maur Lusitanos logoSt Maur Lusitanos

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Auxerre · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Auxerre are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St Maur Lusitanos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Auxerre hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Auxerre holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Auxerre

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Auxerre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AuxerreWWWLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St Maur LusitanosLDWWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AuxerreSt Maur Lusitanos
60.0Attack66.7
60.0Defence0.0
53.3Form0.0
58.6Power23.7
2.36xG1.28
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