Austinvs
Sporting Kansas City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/17/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Austin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Austin holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Austin
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Austin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20