GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/17/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Austin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Austin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Major League Soccer, while Austin holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Austin

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Austin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AustinLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting Kansas CityWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AustinSporting Kansas City
40.7Attack31.6
33.3Defence15.8
31.5Form24.6
37.2Power27.5
2.24xG1.13
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