GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Seattle Sounders · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Austin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Sounders hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Seattle Sounders holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Seattle Sounders

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

13.6%

Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AustinWLLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Seattle SoundersLLLWD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AustinSeattle Sounders
40.7Attack39.2
33.3Defence56.9
31.5Form47.1
37.2Power49.6
1.10xG1.50
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