Austinvs
Seattle Sounders
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Seattle Sounders · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Austin are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Seattle Sounders are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Seattle Sounders hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Seattle Sounders holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Seattle Sounders
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
13.6%
Seattle Sounders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20