Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Austin are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Puebla are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin hold a 76.5-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the Leagues Cup, while Austin holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Austin
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
9.9%
Austin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00