GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/11/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles Galaxy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles Galaxy hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles Galaxy holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles Galaxy

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Los Angeles Galaxy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AustinDDLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles GalaxyLDLLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
40.7Attack40.0
33.3Defence50.0
31.5Form36.7
37.2Power44.2
1.30xG1.50
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