Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Dallas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Austin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Dallas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Dallas hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Dallas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Dallas
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
10.0%
FC Dallas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60