Austinvs
Chicago Fire
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chicago Fire · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Austin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chicago Fire are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chicago Fire hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chicago Fire holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chicago Fire
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Chicago Fire has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40