Austin IIvs
Tacoma Defiance
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 5/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Austin II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Austin II hold a 23.4-point power-rating edge (73.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Austin II holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Austin II
Probability
72.3%
Model confidence
72.3%
Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60