Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austevoll · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Austevoll are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Vard are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Austevoll hold a 34.7-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Austevoll holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Austevoll
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
7.8%
Austevoll has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 3 · GA 24 · avg 0.60/4.80