Auroravs
Oriente Petrolero
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 7/19/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aurora · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Aurora are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Oriente Petrolero are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aurora hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Primera División, while Aurora holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aurora
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Aurora has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80