Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plauen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Auerbach are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Plauen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Plauen hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 74.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd, while Plauen holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Plauen
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
12.0%
Plauen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40